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2007-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Southern Illinois Salukis Kansas Jayhawks Spread Result
Elo 78.5% 21.5% -
Bradley-Terry 83.4% 16.6% -
Margin 100.0% 0.0% -49.1 (52.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.4% 59.6% -
Efficiency 4.7% 95.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.0% 90.0% -
Log Adjusted 9.5% 90.5% -

Actual: Kansas Jayhawks +3 (61-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Tatum * 36 7-19 1-8 4-4 3 1 2 0 4 19 2 -
T. Young * 32 5-16 4-11 0-0 2 0 2 1 0 14 3 -
B. Mullins * 31 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 0 0 -
R. Falker * 28 4-8 0-0 3-6 9 2 0 1 5 11 10 -
T. Boyle * 16 1-3 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
M. Shaw 36 3-7 1-5 2-3 6 3 0 0 1 9 10 -
T. Green 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
W. Clemmons 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Robinson * 32 4-10 1-4 0-0 2 3 3 0 4 9 3 -
B. Rush * 30 6-6 0-0 0-1 5 5 0 1 4 12 13 -
J. Wright * 28 3-7 0-0 1-4 4 1 2 0 1 7 6 -
M. Chalmers * 27 2-6 0-1 5-8 0 3 1 0 4 9 3 -
S. Kaun * 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
S. Collins 23 1-3 0-1 0-1 3 1 2 0 3 2 2 -
D. Jackson 21 3-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 0 0 8 11 -
D. Arthur 19 4-5 0-0 1-1 2 2 0 0 3 9 5 -
R. Stewart 9 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter