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2007-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies Southern Illinois Salukis Spread Result
Elo 80.9% 19.1% -
Bradley-Terry 71.7% 28.3% -
Margin 77.9% 22.1% -6.9 (21.9 off)
Pythagorean 40.2% 59.8% -
Efficiency 16.3% 83.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.1% 64.9% -
Log Adjusted 35.1% 64.9% -

Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +15 (63-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Washington * 38 6-12 1-3 2-4 5 0 1 2 2 15 9 -
J. Gordon * 37 7-9 1-2 1-5 8 1 1 0 2 16 15 -
Z. Dowdell * 35 3-9 0-1 1-2 4 1 1 0 1 7 3 -
A. Green * 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 4 3 -
A.D. Vassallo 29 0-6 0-6 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
N. Munson 14 1-4 0-1 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
L. Witcher 10 0-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
M. Sailes 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Diakite 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Tucker 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Travis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Young * 36 4-11 4-8 5-6 3 0 1 0 2 17 8 -
B. Mullins * 35 3-5 1-3 4-6 1 3 0 0 1 11 9 -
R. Falker * 34 4-9 0-0 2-4 12 3 3 3 1 10 21 -
J. Tatum * 31 7-15 6-9 1-3 3 2 1 0 1 21 11 -
T. Green 24 0-0 0-0 0-2 4 2 0 0 1 0 5 -
T. Boyle 20 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 0 -1 -
W. Clemmons 13 1-1 1-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
J. Bone 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Armstrong 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C.J. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Acquah 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Coopwood 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter