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2007-03-16

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 80.8% 19.2% -
Bradley-Terry 43.1% 56.9% -
Margin 35.3% 64.7% +3.3 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% -
Efficiency 18.8% 81.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.2% 52.8% -
Log Adjusted 47.1% 52.9% -

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies +2 (54-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Frazier * 36 0-5 0-5 0-0 7 6 1 0 2 0 7 -
W. Carter * 34 6-12 1-1 2-3 5 2 0 0 4 15 6 -
R. McBride * 32 4-9 4-8 2-4 1 1 0 0 3 14 4 -
B. Randle * 28 3-4 0-1 1-5 12 2 1 1 2 7 17 -
S. Pruitt * 20 3-8 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 6 -2 -
M. Arnold 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 0 -
C. Brock 17 0-1 0-1 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 2 5 -
T. Meacham 13 1-2 1-1 1-1 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 -

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Dowdell * 38 3-9 1-2 1-2 2 1 1 0 5 8 -2 -
J. Gordon * 34 2-6 0-1 6-9 0 7 7 0 2 10 16 -
A. Green * 31 2-4 0-0 9-12 3 0 2 1 0 13 15 -
D. Washington * 31 5-10 3-3 1-2 3 0 0 2 0 14 9 -
A.D. Vassallo 37 3-11 2-8 1-2 9 3 1 0 2 9 9 -
C. Diakite 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
L. Witcher 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Sailes 7 0-0 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
N. Munson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Travis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter