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2007-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Kansas Jayhawks Spread Result
Elo 98.4% 1.6% -
Bradley-Terry 97.9% 2.1% -
Margin 100.0% 0.0% -66.1 (78.1 off)
Pythagorean 38.8% 61.2% -
Efficiency 2.2% 97.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.9% 79.1% -
Log Adjusted 20.5% 79.5% -

Actual: Kansas Jayhawks +12 (88-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Crawford * 36 4-12 2-7 2-3 3 4 2 0 2 12 7 -
B. Perry * 33 8-12 5-8 0-2 1 1 0 0 1 21 10 -
R. Morris * 31 4-8 0-0 14-16 8 0 1 2 3 22 22 -
R. Bradley * 29 1-6 1-5 0-0 6 9 1 0 0 3 13 -
D. Jasper * 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 0 0 -
J. Meeks 36 3-13 2-6 2-2 4 2 1 0 1 10 3 -
S. Thomas 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
P. Stevenson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
L. Obrzut 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Wright * 36 8-12 0-0 5-6 8 3 2 0 1 21 21 -
B. Rush * 36 6-9 6-7 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 19 12 -
M. Chalmers * 33 5-8 3-5 3-4 3 8 4 1 3 16 21 -
R. Robinson * 25 3-5 1-2 2-2 0 3 0 1 1 9 7 -
S. Kaun * 23 2-5 0-0 2-4 3 1 0 1 0 6 6 -
S. Collins 26 4-11 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 8 -3 -
D. Jackson 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 4 7 -
D. Arthur 9 1-1 0-0 3-3 2 0 0 2 0 5 8 -
R. Stewart 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter