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2007-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Utah Utes Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 8.0% 92.0% -
Bradley-Terry 14.8% 85.2% -
Margin 8.3% 91.7% +13.2 (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 35.4% 64.6% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.1% 91.9% -
Log Adjusted 8.0% 92.0% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +2 (61-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Kepkay 37 5-10 4-8 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 16 7 -
S. Green 34 5-10 5-9 0-0 4 2 3 0 1 15 13 -
L. Nevill 34 7-14 0-0 1-4 8 2 2 1 4 15 10 -
J. Bryant 29 4-8 3-6 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 11 5 -
L. Drca 26 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 6 2 1 2 2 8 -
L. Borha 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 0 -
C. Brown 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
S. Weigh 7 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Grim 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Bouldin 38 8-11 6-8 4-6 6 0 2 0 1 26 22 -
J. Pargo 34 3-6 1-2 0-0 1 8 0 1 5 7 6 -
J. Heytvelt 31 6-12 0-4 4-4 6 2 0 0 3 16 9 -
M. Downs 24 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 4 2 -
D. Pendergraft 24 1-4 0-2 1-1 4 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
S. Gray 23 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 2 4 -
A. Daye 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 0 5 -
A. Kuso 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
R. Sacre 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Gurganious 2 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -

* = starter