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2007-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 17.7% 82.3% -
Bradley-Terry 38.1% 61.9% -
Margin 26.3% 73.7% +5.7 (8.7 off)

Actual: SMU Mustangs -3 (58-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Fonzie 37 5-11 3-7 0-2 5 4 0 0 0 13 11 -
M. Kingsley 31 4-9 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 1 1 8 4 -
E. Bell 30 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 5 0 0 2 2 4 -
J. Alexander 27 5-14 5-11 2-2 3 2 2 1 1 17 10 -
N. Shaw 24 2-5 0-2 2-2 3 0 0 2 4 6 2 -
E. Williams 18 2-3 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 1 1 6 5 -
S. Weaver 16 1-1 1-1 2-4 4 0 1 0 2 5 7 -
P. Davis 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
B. Akpan 8 0-1 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 0 2 6 -
J. Rogers 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Roberts 35 3-9 1-3 5-7 1 2 0 0 0 12 6 -
R. Harp 32 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 1 1 1 2 0 2 -
J. Killen 31 4-12 3-5 0-0 4 4 0 1 0 11 8 -
P. Dia 26 4-6 0-0 2-2 8 2 1 1 5 10 11 -
P. Ritter 23 2-5 0-1 2-4 9 0 0 1 3 6 8 -
M. Walker 22 2-4 1-2 2-2 1 4 1 0 2 7 7 -
B. Fall 21 3-7 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 2 1 9 9 -
A. Malone 9 1-3 0-1 1-1 0 0 1 0 0 3 1 -
C. Spencer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter