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2007-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 71.3% 28.7% -
Bradley-Terry 59.1% 40.9% -
Margin 59.3% 40.7% -2.1 (18.1 off)
Pythagorean 34.3% 65.7% -
Efficiency 13.5% 86.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.7% 87.3% -
Log Adjusted 12.6% 87.4% -

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +16 (86-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Banks 30 4-8 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 2 10 6 -
S. Taibi 29 5-11 2-3 1-1 2 1 1 0 2 13 4 -
N. Kingman 28 7-12 3-8 0-3 5 1 0 1 2 17 10 -
J. Mason 27 4-11 3-6 3-4 3 2 1 0 3 14 6 -
T. Panagiotakopoulos 27 4-6 0-2 1-2 2 6 1 0 1 9 11 -
R. Palacios 19 2-5 0-0 1-3 4 1 0 0 2 5 3 -
T. Montgomery 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
W. Figures 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -3 -
M. Garrett 9 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 4 0 0 1 0 3 -
T. Anderson 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. Beitzel 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Wilson 30 9-15 2-5 0-1 2 3 2 0 1 20 11 -
K. Landry 29 6-9 0-0 7-7 11 1 3 1 1 19 25 -
R. McCurdy 24 1-6 0-0 3-4 11 0 0 2 3 5 9 -
Z. Filzen 22 3-6 2-3 2-2 1 4 1 0 0 10 10 -
N. Geiser 21 5-8 4-6 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 16 12 -
Z. Comagic 16 4-5 1-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 11 9 -
M. Johnson 13 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 5 2 1 1 3 7 -
G. Sharp 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
J. Bishop 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 0 5 -
C. Jones 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 0 1 -
N. Larson 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 0 -2 -
S. Johannsen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter