Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.3% | 40.7% | -2.1 | ✗ (18.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +16 (86-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Banks | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| S. Taibi | 29 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| N. Kingman | 28 | 7-12 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| J. Mason | 27 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| T. Panagiotakopoulos | 27 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| R. Palacios | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Montgomery | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| W. Figures | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Garrett | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Anderson | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Beitzel | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wilson | 30 | 9-15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| K. Landry | 29 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 25 | - |
| R. McCurdy | 24 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Z. Filzen | 22 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| N. Geiser | 21 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Z. Comagic | 16 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| M. Johnson | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| G. Sharp | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Bishop | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| C. Jones | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Larson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter