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2007-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Golden Gophers UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 62.1% 37.9% -
Bradley-Terry 53.6% 46.4% -
Margin 54.8% 45.2% -1.1 (18.1 off)
Pythagorean 42.4% 57.6% -
Efficiency 60.2% 39.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.5% 41.5% -
Log Adjusted 58.9% 41.1% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +17 (81-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Coleman 33 5-9 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 3 10 8 -
A. Nolen 26 1-5 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 4 5 -3 -
L. McKenzie 23 2-11 2-5 2-2 1 3 0 0 3 8 -2 -
B. Hoffarber 23 5-8 3-6 0-2 4 0 0 0 0 13 9 -
J. Abu-Shamala 17 2-6 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 4 3 -
J. Williams 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 2 0 2 8 -
L. Westbrook 17 2-6 0-2 3-3 5 1 1 0 0 7 8 -
S. Tollackson 16 2-4 0-0 2-7 1 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
D. Johnson 13 3-6 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 0 0 7 8 -
K. Payton 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
T. Busch 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Terry 34 4-10 4-6 2-2 3 4 0 1 2 14 10 -
W. Adams 32 5-10 2-4 8-9 5 7 1 0 0 20 23 -
J. Darger 31 2-6 2-4 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 6 7 -
C. Bailey 30 5-7 1-2 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 12 8 -
M. Shaw 23 3-6 1-2 7-9 10 0 0 0 2 14 16 -
R. Rougeau 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 1 2 7 -
M. Rutledge 11 3-6 1-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 9 6 -
L. Roberson 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
M. Lawrence 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 4 0 2 2 3 -
K. Wallace 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter