Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte 49ers | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.2% | 43.8% | -1.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -7 (51-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.