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2007-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 27.8% 72.2% -
Bradley-Terry 47.1% 52.9% -
Margin 43.1% 56.9% +1.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 63.0% 37.0% -
Efficiency 94.6% 5.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.3% 8.7% -
Log Adjusted 91.3% 8.7% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +10 (64-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Meacham 39 6-12 5-10 7-8 8 1 0 0 0 24 21 -
C. Frazier 36 1-5 0-3 0-0 4 6 0 0 2 2 5 -
S. Pruitt 25 3-6 0-0 1-6 5 0 1 0 4 7 3 -
D. McCamey 24 4-10 1-5 0-1 1 0 0 0 4 9 -4 -
M. Davis 21 1-4 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 1 0 3 5 -
M. Tisdale 15 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
C. Brock 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 0 5 -
B. Randle 14 2-5 0-1 2-3 6 1 0 0 2 6 6 -
R. Alexander 11 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
L. Simpson 0 5-10 0-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 10 7 -
L. Bjork 0 2-7 2-7 4-4 5 3 0 0 0 10 11 -
J. Smith 0 4-9 0-0 8-8 5 1 0 0 0 16 13 -
C. Gordon 0 6-13 0-2 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 13 4 -
D. Crutcher 0 3-10 0-0 2-2 4 3 1 0 0 8 6 -

* = starter