Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.3% | 68.7% | +4.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +12 (87-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lawrence | 36 | 10-15 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 21 | - |
| D. Carroll | 32 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| J. Horton | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Hannah | 23 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| J.T. Tiller | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Lawrence | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Brown | 15 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| L. Lyons | 13 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| J. Safford | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Butterfield | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| V. Volkus | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hansbrough | 38 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 5-8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| J. Gordon | 38 | 8-17 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| B. Stewart | 38 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 20 | - |
| P. Turner | 34 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| J. Varnado | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| B. Johnson | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Johnson | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| E. Bailey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Benock | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| K. Augustus | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter