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2007-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 36.2% 63.8% -
Bradley-Terry 16.9% 83.1% -
Margin 6.7% 93.3% +14.5 (15.5 off)
Pythagorean 88.7% 11.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.1% 25.9% -
Log Adjusted 73.8% 26.2% -

Actual: Oregon State Beavers -1 (59-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mbunga 31 11-15 0-0 1-4 6 0 0 1 1 23 14 -
P. Friesen 31 1-4 0-2 0-1 7 2 0 0 0 2 7 -
C. Durham 29 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 1 4 0 0 2 6 -
C. Taylor 28 5-13 1-6 0-0 1 3 1 0 5 11 -2 -
B. Howard 24 5-9 2-5 3-4 2 1 0 0 1 15 8 -
A. Zamora 18 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 4 4 -
J. Hennessy 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 0 3 -
M. Davis 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
B. Johnson 7 1-4 0-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Tarver 34 3-11 1-3 0-0 2 2 3 0 1 7 2 -
M. Jones 32 4-12 1-4 4-6 7 1 0 1 3 13 7 -
C.J. Giles 31 5-8 0-1 3-3 10 1 1 5 2 13 20 -
J. Tarver 31 5-11 1-3 0-0 3 6 1 0 2 11 8 -
R. Schaftenaar 24 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 6 -
O. Johnson 17 3-4 0-0 1-1 6 2 0 0 1 7 10 -
R. Claitt 17 1-4 0-1 1-1 1 2 0 0 1 3 1 -
C. Haynes 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
C. Hampton 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
S. Carter 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter