Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.5% | 97.5% | +20.1 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +32 (90-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Diebler | 31 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Loyd | 31 | 9-17 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 7 | - |
| S. Haanpaa | 30 | 4-11 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| S. Huff | 27 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| B. Bouchie | 26 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| U. Igbavboa | 24 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. McPherson | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Rogers | 6 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| H. Little | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. MacLeod | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Bennett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lawson | 32 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| T. Hansbrough | 29 | 7-8 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 28 | - |
| W. Ellington | 27 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Thompson | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| D. Green | 20 | 8-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 24 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| W. Graves | 8 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| M. Copeland | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Campbell | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Moody | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Wood | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| G. Little | 3 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Wooten | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J.B. Tanner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter