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2007-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Missouri State Bears Southern Illinois Salukis Spread Result
Elo 40.8% 59.2% -
Bradley-Terry 54.4% 45.6% -
Margin 53.5% 46.5% -0.8 (8.8 off)
Efficiency 36.9% 63.1% -

Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +8 (79-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lamberth 33 3-7 3-5 4-6 3 3 0 0 2 13 10 -
D. Mitchell 32 6-9 0-0 11-11 9 3 2 0 4 23 24 -
J. Fuehrmeyer 31 6-10 5-9 2-2 2 4 0 0 5 19 10 -
S. Laurie 25 1-3 1-2 2-2 5 2 0 0 1 5 8 -
S. Laurie 23 3-8 2-2 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 9 4 -
D. Richards 21 0-2 0-0 2-4 5 0 0 1 1 2 5 -
C. Cooks 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 0 0 -
D. Manswell 11 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 1 0 2 0 0 3 -
T. Brock 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
W. Knapp 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Clemmons 37 3-9 2-3 3-4 5 0 0 0 0 11 7 -
B. Mullins 35 4-8 2-3 9-11 2 7 2 0 3 19 19 -
J. Bone 31 7-10 3-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 17 6 -
R. Falker 26 4-6 0-0 5-7 7 0 0 2 1 13 15 -
M. Shaw 23 1-7 0-2 4-5 4 1 1 0 2 6 3 -
T. Boyle 23 3-7 0-0 5-5 2 0 4 0 0 11 10 -
T. Green 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
C. Fay 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 4 -
D. Coopwood 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter