Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.2% | 90.8% | +12.6 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +6 (63-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.