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Texas State Bobcats 70
@
SMU Mustangs 77
2007-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Texas State Bobcats SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 11.7% 88.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 22.2% 77.8% - ✓
Margin 13.2% 86.8% +10.4 ✓ (3.4 off)
Efficiency 44.1% 55.9% - ✓

Actual: SMU Mustangs +7 (77-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Bush 35 7-17 0-4 7-11 11 4 1 0 5 21 15 -
C. Jefferson 28 4-7 1-2 0-2 3 1 0 0 3 9 3 -
B. Thomas 27 1-4 0-0 0-2 6 3 4 0 3 2 8 -
D. Moseley 26 2-8 2-7 1-2 4 1 1 1 2 7 4 -
B. Benson 21 6-11 4-7 3-3 0 0 1 0 1 19 8 -
T. Gough 17 1-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
R. White 13 2-6 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 4 -1 -
B. Holder 11 2-6 2-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
C. Johnson 11 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
J. Sloan 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
C. Agwumaro 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -
M. Fullenwider 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Killen 39 3-7 0-3 4-4 4 8 4 0 6 10 13 -
D. Roberts 36 4-8 0-3 8-8 5 3 4 0 4 16 16 -
R. Harp 30 4-9 3-6 3-6 9 5 1 0 2 14 18 -
M. Walker 27 4-6 2-4 2-4 2 1 0 2 3 12 8 -
B. Fall 21 7-7 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 3 1 15 13 -
P. Dia 18 1-2 0-0 2-4 6 0 1 1 3 4 7 -
P. Ritter 15 0-2 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 0 3 0 0 -
A. Malone 14 2-7 1-3 1-1 1 0 1 1 1 6 1 -

* = starter