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2007-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Cascade Thunderbirds Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 10.6% 89.4% -
Bradley-Terry 12.8% 87.2% -
Margin 0.3% 99.7% +32.4 (6.4 off)

Actual: Portland Pilots +26 (72-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cascade Thunderbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Adams 31 4-17 0-3 5-5 5 2 2 0 2 13 3 -
T. Cotton 31 4-11 0-4 2-3 6 0 2 1 1 10 7 -
R. Barker 28 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 1 1 2 1 3 5 -
E. Taylor Jr. 27 3-9 1-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 7 2 -
B. Pawlak 25 1-7 1-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 -4 -
K. Saelee 20 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 0 0 -
B. Lott 20 2-8 2-7 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 6 1 -
K. Powell 18 1-4 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 2 4 0 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Stohl 25 3-7 2-4 2-2 5 4 0 0 2 10 10 -
N. Raivio 24 2-5 1-4 4-4 3 3 0 0 3 9 7 -
L. Sikma 20 4-5 0-0 0-2 13 1 0 1 5 8 13 -
K. Knutson 19 1-4 0-0 0-1 5 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
T. Ito 19 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 4 1 0 1 0 0 -
R. Smeulders 18 5-8 0-0 3-4 5 1 0 1 1 13 11 -
J. Hannibal 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
E. Niedermeyer 17 5-5 3-3 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 13 11 -
S. Watson 16 5-6 0-1 2-4 5 1 2 0 0 12 14 -
B.J. Porter 13 1-2 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 1 2 3 3 -
M. Carter 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 2 0 -

* = starter