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2007-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 25.7% 74.3% -
Bradley-Terry 32.5% 67.5% -
Margin 27.3% 72.7% +5.4 (15.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% -
Efficiency 51.6% 48.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.8% 41.2% -
Log Adjusted 58.9% 41.1% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -10 (72-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith 33 5-13 0-0 1-2 11 6 1 0 0 11 16 -
C. Lofton 32 4-13 3-12 0-0 4 3 2 0 2 11 5 -
J. Smith 30 7-13 4-9 0-0 2 3 2 0 3 18 9 -
W. Chism 26 5-8 0-1 0-0 5 3 2 2 1 10 13 -
J. Howell 20 2-4 1-3 1-1 3 2 0 0 1 6 6 -
R. Smith 20 4-7 2-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 10 3 -
J.P. Prince 18 2-4 0-0 8-12 3 1 2 0 0 12 14 -
R. Childress 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
B. Williams 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Bouldin 37 7-16 3-7 4-5 4 2 0 0 2 21 9 -
J. Pargo 33 1-7 0-3 6-7 4 7 1 1 6 8 8 -
S. Gray 26 3-7 2-4 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 8 6 -
D. Pendergraft 25 3-6 1-4 5-6 6 0 0 0 2 12 10 -
J. Heytvelt 24 4-6 0-0 4-7 4 0 1 2 3 12 10 -
A. Daye 19 4-7 1-3 2-2 2 1 2 1 2 11 8 -
M. Downs 12 0-3 0-2 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
R. Sacre 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
L. Gurganious 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 4 -
A. Kuso 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
I. Brown 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Sorenson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter