🐻⬇️🏀

@
2007-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 35.6% 64.4% -
Bradley-Terry 41.2% 58.8% -
Margin 36.7% 63.3% +3.0 (22.0 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% -
Efficiency 88.9% 11.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.3% 56.7% -
Log Adjusted 43.1% 56.9% -

Actual: Dayton Flyers +25 (80-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Young 32 5-17 0-2 5-7 7 0 0 1 4 15 2 -
R. Ramon 32 0-8 0-6 2-3 3 2 0 0 1 2 -2 -
K. Benjamin 30 3-8 1-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 7 1 -
G. Brown 26 1-8 0-3 1-2 5 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
L. Fields 22 4-10 2-6 3-5 3 3 2 0 2 13 9 -
T. Biggs 22 2-4 0-2 2-2 5 0 0 0 2 6 5 -
D. Blair 18 4-6 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 1 0 9 11 -
B. Wanamaker 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -
C. Diggs 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Roberts 35 10-17 5-8 6-7 1 5 0 0 1 31 19 -
M. Johnson 31 6-10 0-1 3-4 11 0 0 0 0 15 16 -
J. Binnie 26 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 4 -
K. Huelsman 23 5-9 0-0 2-4 8 2 0 0 2 12 11 -
A. Sandoval 22 0-1 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
C. Little 15 2-3 0-0 4-4 5 0 0 0 1 8 9 -
C. Wright 14 0-2 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
L. Warren 11 1-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -1 -
T. Cordeiro 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 2 2 -
D. Searcy 8 0-2 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
S. Thomas 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Perry 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Fox 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter