Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | +3.0 | ✓ (22.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +25 (80-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Young | 32 | 5-17 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 2 | - |
| R. Ramon | 32 | 0-8 | 0-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| K. Benjamin | 30 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| G. Brown | 26 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| L. Fields | 22 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| T. Biggs | 22 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Blair | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| B. Wanamaker | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Diggs | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Roberts | 35 | 10-17 | 5-8 | 6-7 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 19 | - |
| M. Johnson | 31 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| J. Binnie | 26 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| A. Sandoval | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Little | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| C. Wright | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| L. Warren | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| T. Cordeiro | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Searcy | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Thomas | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Perry | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Fox | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter