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2007-12-29

Model Predictions

Model UIC Flames Akron Zips Spread Result
Elo 26.3% 73.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.7% 70.3% - โœ“
Margin 22.4% 77.6% +6.8 โœ“ (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 26.1% 73.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 25.9% 74.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.0% 64.0% - โœ“

Actual: Akron Zips +6 (79-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UIC Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Mayo 36 4-12 2-7 2-3 5 6 0 0 5 12 6 -
R. Kreps 33 8-13 3-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 19 8 -
R. Bush 32 7-11 3-6 2-2 5 1 0 1 2 19 13 -
J. Dailey 24 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 2 1 4 8 -
S. VanderMeer 22 3-7 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
T. Boyd 19 3-9 0-4 0-1 2 1 0 0 1 6 -1 -
J. Ignjatovic 19 2-5 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 4 -1 -
J. Buttell 15 1-2 1-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 3 5 -

Akron Zips

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Linhart 30 5-6 3-3 0-0 6 1 1 1 0 13 16 -
N. Dials 27 3-10 2-5 8-10 1 8 1 0 2 16 14 -
C. Middleton 26 1-6 1-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 5 3 -
Q. Milum 24 4-10 0-3 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 9 4 -
J. Wood 22 6-12 0-0 6-7 6 3 1 1 1 18 16 -
S. McNees 22 3-6 3-6 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 9 8 -
C. McKnight 16 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 3 0 5 4 0 -
M. Bardo 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Roberts 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Conyers 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. McKnight 4 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter