Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Idaho State Bengals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.1% | 46.9% | -0.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Idaho State Bengals -4 (74-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.