Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Creighton Bluejays | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 8.6% | 91.4% | +13.0 | ✗ (26.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Creighton Bluejays -13 (67-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Johnson | 35 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Slack | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 21 | - |
| B. Richardson | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 29 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| L. Dyer | 25 | 7-12 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| S. Odzic | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| E. Holloway | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| B. Sampay | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Rubin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Creighton Bluejays
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Watts | 31 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 13 | - |
| P. Stinnett | 28 | 9-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 17 | - |
| J. Dotzler | 27 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| N. Bahe | 26 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| C. Millard | 25 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| P. Hibma | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Witter | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| B. Woodfox | 12 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Harriman | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| K. Lawson Jr. | 5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
* = starter