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2007-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Washington Huskies LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 41.2% 58.8% -
Bradley-Terry 40.0% 60.0% -
Margin 35.7% 64.3% +3.2 (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 53.8% 46.2% -
Efficiency 80.4% 19.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.6% 34.4% -
Log Adjusted 65.7% 34.3% -

Actual: LSU Tigers -8 (65-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Brockman 34 6-11 0-0 3-7 12 2 2 0 3 15 17 -
T. Morris 31 7-12 1-2 0-0 5 3 3 0 2 15 12 -
R. Appleby 30 4-8 2-5 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 12 6 -
Q. Pondexter 26 8-15 0-1 1-1 5 1 0 1 3 17 6 -
J. Dentmon 23 1-4 0-1 7-8 3 4 1 0 1 9 12 -
J. Smith 20 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 0 2 -
A. Wallace 13 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 1 0 3 6 -
V. Overton 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 -
J. Wolfinger 9 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 2 0 -
M. Bryan-Amaning 4 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Randolph 36 2-11 0-0 6-6 9 0 3 0 3 10 8 -
C. Johnson 36 9-12 1-1 0-0 9 0 1 2 1 19 18 -
M. Thornton 33 7-15 0-4 4-4 8 2 2 0 4 18 11 -
G. Temple 32 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 5 0 1 4 0 2 -
T. Martin 31 6-13 2-6 0-0 1 2 0 1 3 14 2 -
B. Spencer 19 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -2 -
G. Green 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
A. Farrer 4 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter