Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Western Kentucky Lady Toppers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.2% | 45.8% | -0.9 | ✗ (18.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Kentucky Lady Toppers +18 (82-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Dwyer | 0 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| M. Busby | 0 | 7-12 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| M. Brown | 0 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| T. Terwelp | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| T. Balerio | 0 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
Western Kentucky Lady Toppers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Duck | 0 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| A. McNear | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| K. Rich | 0 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| C. Kelly | 0 | 11-11 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 29 | - |
| C. Marshall | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
* = starter