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2007-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Northern Iowa Panthers Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 19.0% 81.0% -
Bradley-Terry 59.4% 40.6% -
Margin 57.5% 42.5% -1.7 (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 38.5% 61.5% -
Efficiency 37.6% 62.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.2% 72.8% -
Log Adjusted 27.0% 73.0% -

Actual: Bradley Braves -13 (46-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Josten 38 6-15 1-4 3-5 3 1 0 0 3 16 2 -
T. Brown 35 2-6 0-2 4-4 3 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
K. Dunham 34 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -
E. Coleman 27 5-9 0-0 7-13 14 3 2 1 2 17 26 -
A. Koch 25 1-5 0-0 4-4 5 3 0 0 1 6 8 -
J. Eglseder 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 0 4 4 6 -
J. Montgomery 10 2-2 1-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
L. O'Rear 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 0 4 -
B. Haak 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Green 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Maniscalco 38 5-10 3-8 2-3 1 0 2 0 3 15 5 -
J. Crouch 37 3-14 2-8 1-1 4 2 0 1 3 9 -1 -
A. Warren 33 3-12 1-7 2-3 4 1 1 1 0 9 4 -
M. Salley 28 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 1 1 4 10 -
T. Wilson 27 3-6 0-2 1-1 4 1 2 0 0 7 8 -
T. Cole-Scott 13 1-5 0-3 0-1 0 2 0 0 1 2 -2 -
R. Austin 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
D. Collins 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -
W. Egolf 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter