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2007-12-29

Model Predictions

Model BYU Cougars Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 81.9% 18.1% -
Bradley-Terry 58.3% 41.7% -
Margin 61.5% 38.5% -2.6 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 60.6% 39.4% -
Efficiency 81.1% 18.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 87.2% 12.8% -
Log Adjusted 87.3% 12.7% -

Actual: Boise State Broncos +3 (73-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Plaisted 32 4-11 0-0 4-9 9 2 0 0 2 12 10 -
L. Cummard 32 9-14 2-7 6-6 6 2 0 2 2 26 20 -
B. Murdock 29 0-5 0-2 4-4 2 2 1 0 3 4 1 -
S. Burgess 28 4-4 3-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 11 12 -
J. Tavernari 21 1-8 0-6 2-2 6 1 0 1 2 4 2 -
J. Fredette 21 4-9 3-8 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 11 4 -
C. Collinsworth 17 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
V. Ivanovic 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 0 4 -
M. Loyd Jr. 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
N. Martineau 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Rose 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Miles 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Larry 35 7-15 0-4 5-6 7 2 0 0 3 19 10 -
M. Nelson 34 7-7 0-0 4-7 11 5 0 1 0 18 28 -
A. Thomas 33 2-7 1-4 4-4 2 5 1 0 3 9 7 -
T. Tiedeman 33 2-9 1-4 0-2 4 4 0 0 3 5 1 -
M. Bauscher 23 4-8 3-6 0-0 5 0 2 0 1 11 9 -
P. Noonan 22 3-6 2-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 8 6 -
J. Greene 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
K. Cunningham 8 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 1 2 3 5 -
M. Sanchez 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter