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2007-12-29

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 14.7% 85.3% -
Bradley-Terry 9.8% 90.2% -
Margin 3.5% 96.5% +18.2 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 4.0% 96.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +28 (76-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Payne 37 3-7 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 0 7 6 -
S. Hanson 33 4-6 3-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 11 5 -
V. Oliver 32 3-5 0-0 3-4 2 3 0 0 5 9 4 -
K. Brucculeri 31 4-10 3-6 0-0 2 2 0 1 4 11 2 -
D. Carter 21 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
R. Silva 16 3-4 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 8 4 -
J. Lopez-Low 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -
C. Portz 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 -
N. Clark 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
M. Boone 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Shipp 28 4-8 1-5 1-1 2 2 0 0 3 10 3 -
L. Mbah a Moute 27 5-10 0-0 0-1 5 1 0 1 0 10 7 -
D. Collison 27 6-9 2-4 0-0 4 2 2 0 2 14 11 -
R. Westbrook 26 4-10 1-2 0-0 3 6 1 1 1 9 9 -
M. Roll 26 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 2 3 -
K. Love 26 5-11 0-1 3-3 9 1 0 4 0 13 16 -
A. Aboya 23 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 6 7 -
C. Stanback 8 3-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 7 6 -
N. Dragovic 5 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
D. McGrath 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Lee 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter