Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.3% | 68.7% | +4.3 | ✗ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -8 (53-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Marek | 39 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. Baker | 38 | 6-15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| N. Adepoju | 36 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | - |
| T. Sorensen | 35 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 26 | - |
| G. Payne | 34 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| J. Clifford | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Roberts | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Hoopes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Quinney | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Josserand | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Clark | 34 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | -4 | - |
| T. Shelton | 31 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 16 | - |
| C. Thomas | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Lewis | 21 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| D. Vance | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| C. Anderson | 19 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Whiten | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Leavitt | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Manley | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Hanson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| R. Higgins | 6 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Z. Thurow | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter