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2007-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Southern Utah Thunderbirds Cal Poly Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 48.4% 51.6% -
Bradley-Terry 43.6% 56.4% -
Margin 31.3% 68.7% +4.3 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% -
Efficiency 94.0% 6.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.5% 15.5% -
Log Adjusted 84.9% 15.1% -

Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -8 (53-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Marek 39 1-4 1-1 0-1 2 5 1 0 1 3 6 -
D. Baker 38 6-15 2-4 1-2 8 3 0 0 3 15 8 -
N. Adepoju 36 2-9 0-2 0-0 6 7 3 0 4 4 7 -
T. Sorensen 35 10-12 0-0 6-10 10 0 2 1 1 26 26 -
G. Payne 34 6-12 0-0 1-3 4 1 2 0 2 13 6 -
J. Clifford 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Roberts 6 0-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -
C. Hoopes 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
T. Quinney 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Josserand 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Clark 34 5-16 1-5 2-2 0 2 0 0 3 13 -4 -
T. Shelton 31 4-5 0-0 3-4 8 2 2 1 3 11 16 -
C. Thomas 22 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 3 3 0 2 2 5 -
S. Lewis 21 2-6 1-1 4-4 1 0 1 0 0 9 5 -
D. Vance 19 2-4 0-0 3-6 6 0 0 3 0 7 12 -
C. Anderson 19 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 0 -2 -
D. Whiten 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 2 1 -
C. Leavitt 11 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 2 1 1 4 8 -
J. Manley 9 0-0 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
M. Hanson 8 0-2 0-1 1-3 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
R. Higgins 6 1-4 1-4 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
Z. Thurow 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter