Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Iowa State Cyclones | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.3% | 86.7% | +10.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa State Cyclones +17 (74-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Breske | 0 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Murdaugh | 0 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| L. Prochaska | 0 | 7-13 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| L. Goldsberry | 0 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| K. Achter | 0 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 19 | - |
Iowa State Cyclones
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Nisleit | 0 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| N. Wieben | 0 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| D. Stuckey | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| A. Lacey | 0 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| H. Ezell | 0 | 5-11 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
* = starter