Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.1% | 94.9% | +16.1 | ✓ (19.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +36 (106-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 34 | 10-18 | 0-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 7 | - |
| M. Kemp | 34 | 7-21 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | - |
| J. McGee | 33 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| B. Fields | 25 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -7 | - |
| M. LaGrone | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Burleson | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Ellis | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Johnson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Cooke | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Kraemer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lawson | 29 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 20 | - |
| D. Thompson | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| W. Ellington | 28 | 8-12 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 16 | - |
| T. Hansbrough | 26 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 19 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Green | 21 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| B. Frasor | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| W. Graves | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Moody | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Wood | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| G. Little | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Wooten | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J.B. Tanner | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Campbell | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Copeland | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter