Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.4% | 75.6% | +6.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +8 (85-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Vaughn | 32 | 7-13 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 10 | - |
| A. Hrycaniuk | 28 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 13 | - |
| J. Warren | 22 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Williamson | 21 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| R. Bishop | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Gentry | 19 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| L. Davis | 19 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -1 | - |
| M. Sikes | 18 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Belton | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Mitchell | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Wilks | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. McClain | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Fells | 32 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| B. Costner | 31 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 18 | - |
| G. Grant | 31 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| J. Hickson | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| F. Degand | 23 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| B. McCauley | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Gonzalez | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Horner | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| S. Harris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter