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2007-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles Providence Friars Spread Result
Elo 35.9% 64.1% -
Bradley-Terry 67.7% 32.3% -
Margin 71.8% 28.2% -5.1 (11.1 off)
Pythagorean 38.2% 61.8% -
Efficiency 39.8% 60.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.1% 46.9% -
Log Adjusted 53.4% 46.6% -

Actual: Providence Friars +6 (101-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Douglas 39 5-13 3-7 9-10 4 6 2 0 3 22 18 -
J. Rich 37 10-18 2-5 5-7 8 4 1 0 2 27 20 -
I. Swann 36 4-9 2-7 0-0 2 1 3 1 6 10 2 -
R. Mims 27 4-7 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 10 4 -
U. Echefu 27 6-9 2-4 2-3 11 3 1 1 3 16 20 -
J. Vaughn 19 0-0 0-0 3-4 2 1 0 1 1 3 6 -
S. Alabi 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 3 4 1 -
M. Zitani 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
B. Hoff 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. O'Donnell 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. DeMercy 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Xavier 36 9-17 7-12 2-2 3 1 2 1 2 27 15 -
W. Efejuku 33 8-14 2-3 7-11 1 4 3 0 1 25 18 -
G. McDermott 32 3-7 0-0 6-7 7 10 3 0 4 12 21 -
R. Hanke 30 6-8 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 0 1 15 11 -
B. McKenzie 27 3-5 3-4 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 9 9 -
C. Burch 15 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 2 4 -
D. Williams 14 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 -
J. Peterson 13 5-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 10 7 -

* = starter