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2007-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 62.6% 37.4% -
Bradley-Terry 35.2% 64.8% -
Margin 30.0% 70.0% +4.6 (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.8% 78.2% -
Log Adjusted 21.5% 78.5% -

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers -3 (52-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Kemp 34 3-9 1-4 6-9 3 2 0 1 4 13 6 -
B. Fields 31 2-7 0-1 2-2 3 2 2 0 3 6 3 -
J. McGee 30 3-7 0-1 1-4 12 0 2 7 3 7 18 -
L. Burleson 26 3-5 2-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 8 8 -
A. Johnson 23 3-7 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 9 3 -
D. Johnson 21 3-5 0-0 4-5 3 0 1 1 1 10 9 -
M. LaGrone 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 4 -
D. Ellis 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Cooke 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Josten 38 2-8 0-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 4 1 -
E. Coleman 32 7-13 0-0 4-5 9 2 2 1 2 18 17 -
T. Brown 32 4-11 4-6 0-0 3 2 2 0 3 12 5 -
K. Dunham 29 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
A. Koch 28 2-5 0-0 5-6 7 0 0 1 0 9 12 -
J. Eglseder 15 3-11 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 6 2 -
A. Viet 10 0-2 0-2 0-1 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
J. Montgomery 7 0-4 0-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
L. O'Rear 5 0-1 0-1 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Reed 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter