Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | New Orleans Privateers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 97.2% | 2.8% | -19.6 | ✗ (23.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Privateers +4 (72-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.