Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | +0.8 | ✗ (16.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -16 (49-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Richardson | 34 | 7-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| D. Johnson | 33 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| L. Dyer | 28 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 27 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| E. Holloway | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Slack | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| A. Rubin | 11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| B. Sampay | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Holtz | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Stovall | 38 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| M. Goins | 29 | 4-16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -8 | - |
| R. McLemore | 28 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| M. Perry | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | - |
| R. Giles | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| L. Frazier | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Hinkley | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Lampley | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Twyman | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter