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2007-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Dartmouth Big Green Army Black Knights Spread Result
Elo 68.2% 31.8% -
Bradley-Terry 34.4% 65.6% -
Margin 30.9% 69.1% +4.4 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 39.6% 60.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.7% 72.3% -
Log Adjusted 27.6% 72.4% -

Actual: Army Black Knights +3 (59-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Barnett 38 7-14 4-6 2-4 4 1 1 3 1 20 14 -
D. Mosley 37 2-11 1-6 2-2 4 2 0 0 2 7 0 -
M. Giovacchini 35 2-9 0-5 6-7 3 3 1 0 1 10 7 -
J. Ball 33 5-9 0-1 3-4 8 0 2 2 1 13 15 -
B. Ware 33 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 3 4 0 3 3 4 -
K. Graeber 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
R. Pride 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Sanders 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
R. Dixon 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
C. Weeden 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Marciano 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

Army Black Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Brown 37 3-9 2-3 2-4 9 2 1 0 3 10 10 -
M. Nelson 33 4-7 0-1 2-2 5 1 2 0 5 10 6 -
D. Williams 31 7-8 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 1 0 15 15 -
J. Miller 29 2-7 0-0 2-2 5 5 1 0 3 6 7 -
C. Richard 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 2 1 -
T. Thompson 14 1-3 0-0 3-4 0 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
J. Moonshower 13 1-5 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 2 2 4 0 -
K. Brewer 9 1-2 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
C. Walker 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
N. Hedgecock 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Bates 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
R. Royal 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter