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2007-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee State Tigers Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 2.4% 97.6% -
Bradley-Terry 10.5% 89.5% -
Margin 3.3% 96.7% +18.6 (9.6 off)
Efficiency 1.6% 98.4% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +9 (83-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Price 35 6-16 1-5 6-11 5 2 5 0 3 19 12 -
G. Robinson 30 10-17 4-9 0-0 5 1 0 0 5 24 8 -
D. Cox 26 4-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 3 0 8 13 -
A. Belton 22 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
R. Ervin 19 1-4 1-3 1-2 2 0 2 0 2 4 2 -
J. Craft 18 1-3 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 1 0 2 5 -
J. Houston 17 4-12 1-2 2-2 5 1 2 1 3 11 5 -
L. Weaver 15 1-5 0-3 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -
D. Taylor 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Armstrong 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Evans 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Foster 36 7-10 3-4 5-6 12 2 3 1 4 22 26 -
A. Gordon 35 5-13 4-7 2-2 3 2 2 0 5 16 5 -
R. Neltner 29 4-8 0-1 1-2 7 1 0 3 0 9 12 -
J. Beal 28 2-3 2-3 6-8 3 4 1 0 2 12 15 -
A.J. Ogilvy 25 4-8 0-0 6-6 6 1 0 1 2 14 12 -
D. McClellan 17 2-5 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
K. Bell 12 1-2 1-2 1-2 0 4 0 0 4 4 2 -
A. Metcalfe 9 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -4 -
G. Drake 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
A. Walker 4 0-1 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
L. Sherwood 0 4-5 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 9 5 -
T. Schenke 0 5-5 0-0 3-3 3 2 3 0 0 13 16 -
J. Mooney 0 1-5 0-2 3-4 1 0 1 0 0 5 2 -
M. Marsh 0 4-4 2-2 3-3 4 7 1 0 0 13 21 -
C. Santee 0 6-7 2-3 2-2 4 1 2 0 0 16 16 -

* = starter