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2007-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Little Rock Trojans Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 8.3% 91.7% -
Bradley-Terry 12.5% 87.5% -
Margin 4.7% 95.3% +16.5 (2.5 off)

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +19 (80-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Patterson 31 0-6 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -5 -
D. Eggins 26 6-9 2-3 5-7 6 1 1 0 3 19 15 -
S. Edwards 25 2-4 0-0 2-2 6 1 2 1 1 6 11 -
T. Akins 24 6-10 3-6 1-1 3 0 0 0 2 16 7 -
S. Moore 22 2-4 0-0 3-4 1 1 0 0 4 7 1 -
M. Smith 20 0-0 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 0 2 1 6 -
J. Fowler 16 0-3 0-2 3-4 3 1 0 0 3 3 1 -
L. Malone 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 0 -4 -
R. Moss 12 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
D. Bails 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
K. Stewart 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Mouzy 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
L. Jackson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Watts 22 6-11 0-0 8-9 10 2 0 3 1 20 23 -
N. Bahe 21 3-6 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 7 4 -
P. Stinnett 21 2-7 0-3 7-8 3 0 2 0 2 11 7 -
P. Hibma 19 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
C. Millard 18 3-6 2-4 0-0 8 1 0 0 1 8 10 -
C. Witter 16 0-1 0-1 4-4 1 1 0 0 2 4 3 -
C. Harriman 16 1-4 1-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
J. Dotzler 16 0-3 0-1 4-4 1 2 5 0 0 4 9 -
K. Lawson Jr. 13 3-5 0-0 3-6 1 1 3 0 0 9 9 -
K. Walker II 11 3-4 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 7 6 -
K. Korver 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 0 3 -
B. Woodfox 9 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
A. Brandt 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Sitzmann 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter