Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Missouri Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.4% | 64.6% | +3.3 | ✗ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri Tigers -1 (58-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Meacham | 36 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 11 | - |
| C. Frazier | 36 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| S. Pruitt | 34 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| C. Brock | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. McCamey | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Davis | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| B. Randle | 17 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| R. Alexander | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lawrence | 34 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| S. Hannah | 30 | 2-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2 | - |
| J.T. Tiller | 28 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| D. Carroll | 28 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| L. Lyons | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| D. Butterfield | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Lawrence | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Brown | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Horton | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| V. Volkus | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter