Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Longhorns | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.9% | 66.1% | +3.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +6 (78-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Abrams | 38 | 9-20 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 9 | - |
| C. Atchley | 38 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| D. James | 36 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 4-8 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| J. Mason | 36 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 34 | 6-17 | 3-7 | 7-10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 15 | - |
| A. Wangmene | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J.D. Lewis | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Pittman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Chapman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Mooney | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Neitzel | 36 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| G. Suton | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| R. Morgan | 30 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| D. Naymick | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Lucas | 28 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 1-5 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| T. Walton | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Gray | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Summers | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter