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2007-12-22

Model Predictions

Model American University Eagles Maryland Terrapins Spread Result
Elo 29.2% 70.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 41.9% 58.1% - โœ—
Margin 9.8% 90.2% +12.2 โœ— (20.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 6.5% 93.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 6.2% 93.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 27.9% 72.1% - โœ—

Actual: Maryland Terrapins -8 (59-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mercer 40 8-14 2-2 0-0 2 3 2 0 3 18 8 -
B. Simon 35 5-11 3-7 4-6 4 4 1 0 4 17 11 -
G. Carr 35 2-9 2-7 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 8 2 -
B. Gilmore 24 2-7 1-3 7-8 8 2 0 0 0 12 15 -
J. Nichols 23 4-6 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 2 0 8 14 -
T. Lay 17 0-5 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 2 -2 -
C. Guibunda 14 1-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 2 5 -
N. Hendra 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
S. Luptak 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Motnii 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Vasquez 37 9-15 6-9 4-5 5 4 1 0 4 28 19 -
E. Hayes 37 6-11 4-8 0-0 1 5 0 0 1 16 10 -
L. Milbourne 30 1-7 0-1 2-2 5 3 0 0 2 4 3 -
J. Gist 22 1-4 0-1 1-4 4 1 1 4 0 3 9 -
C. Tucker 16 0-2 0-2 1-2 2 0 2 2 0 1 5 -
B. Osby 15 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 3 4 1 0 -
B. Dupree 15 1-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 1 4 5 -
D. Neal 13 1-6 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
A. Bowie 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Gregory 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Burney 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter