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2007-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 3.0% 97.0% -
Bradley-Terry 9.4% 90.6% -
Margin 3.9% 96.1% +17.6 (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 24.2% 75.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: USC Trojans +23 (78-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Shelton 30 6-9 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 12 5 -
T. Clark 29 2-5 1-4 1-2 1 1 0 0 2 6 1 -
C. Thomas 27 1-8 0-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 -4 -
M. Hanson 26 3-6 2-3 1-2 9 0 0 1 1 9 12 -
D. Whiten 23 3-12 2-8 4-4 2 0 1 0 0 12 3 -
C. Anderson 17 3-6 1-3 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 7 8 -
D. Vance 14 1-3 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
L. Keeler 10 0-4 0-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Lewis 10 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
J. Manley 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
R. Higgins 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Leavitt 3 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Z. Thurow 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O.J. Mayo 33 6-10 2-2 4-5 4 6 2 0 4 18 16 -
D. Hackett 28 8-13 3-5 0-1 3 1 2 0 1 19 11 -
D. Lewis 27 4-11 2-5 3-4 2 3 2 0 3 13 6 -
D. Jefferson 27 4-7 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 8 7 -
T. Gibson 25 3-4 0-0 3-5 13 2 0 0 0 9 20 -
A. Johnson 24 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 5 4 -
R. Cromwell 11 1-1 0-0 1-3 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
K. Wilkinson 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Simmons 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
M. Diarra 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
R. Wetherell 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter