Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | USC Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.9% | 96.1% | +17.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: USC Trojans +23 (78-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Shelton | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| T. Clark | 29 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| C. Thomas | 27 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| M. Hanson | 26 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| D. Whiten | 23 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| C. Anderson | 17 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| D. Vance | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Keeler | 10 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Lewis | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Manley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Higgins | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Leavitt | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Z. Thurow | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.J. Mayo | 33 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 16 | - |
| D. Hackett | 28 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| D. Lewis | 27 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| D. Jefferson | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Gibson | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 20 | - |
| A. Johnson | 24 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| R. Cromwell | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Wilkinson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Simmons | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Diarra | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| R. Wetherell | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter