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2007-12-22

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 22.0% 78.0% -
Bradley-Terry 89.3% 10.7% -
Margin 25.6% 74.4% +5.9 (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.9% 93.1% -
Log Adjusted 6.7% 93.3% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +16 (74-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Amoroso 31 3-9 1-1 4-6 8 0 0 0 1 11 9 -
R. Williams 28 1-4 0-2 0-1 2 5 1 0 1 2 5 -
B. White 28 3-10 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 0 0 7 5 -
K. Spain 26 7-16 1-4 5-6 8 0 0 1 2 20 11 -
K. Davis 25 0-4 0-3 6-6 2 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
M. Thomas 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 4 2 -
L. Wade 18 3-10 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 7 -2 -
J. Pastorek 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
D.J. Gay 12 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -
J. Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McClellan 38 3-7 1-3 0-0 9 7 1 0 2 7 15 -
J. Bayless 35 7-14 1-3 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 15 2 -
C. Budinger 35 5-13 1-4 2-4 6 3 0 0 1 13 8 -
J. Hill 30 6-7 0-0 3-7 10 2 1 1 1 15 21 -
N. Wise 25 5-7 2-3 0-0 2 4 0 0 3 12 8 -
B. Brielmaier 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
J. Horne 9 3-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
D. Dillon 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
F. Onobun 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter