Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +5.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +16 (74-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Amoroso | 31 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| R. Williams | 28 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| B. White | 28 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| K. Spain | 26 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| K. Davis | 25 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Thomas | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| L. Wade | 18 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -2 | - |
| J. Pastorek | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| J. Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McClellan | 38 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| J. Bayless | 35 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 2 | - |
| C. Budinger | 35 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| J. Hill | 30 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 21 | - |
| N. Wise | 25 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| B. Brielmaier | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Horne | 9 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Dillon | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| F. Onobun | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter