Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.7% | 55.3% | +1.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Pilots +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Montgomery | 36 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| T. Panagiotakopoulos | 31 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | - |
| R. Palacios | 28 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| J. Mason | 25 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| S. Taibi | 24 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| J. Banks | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| N. Kingman | 15 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| W. Figures | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| M. Garrett | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Anderson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Beitzel | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Raivio | 37 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| S. Watson | 32 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| K. Knutson | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| L. Sikma | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Stohl | 22 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| R. Smeulders | 20 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. Ito | 19 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| E. Niedermeyer | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| W. Thompson | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter