Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | Manhattan Jaspers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.1% | 67.9% | +4.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Manhattan Jaspers +1 (80-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thomas | 35 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| J. Walberg | 35 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| R. Tucker | 32 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 4 | - |
| T. Shelley | 27 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| M. Thompson | 25 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| R. Holmes | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Johnson | 12 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - |
| M. Hornbuckle | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Henry | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Reed | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Carr | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Pearson | 30 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | - |
| A. Gabriel | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| J. Ferguson | 27 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 17 | - |
| P. Bouli | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| R. Green | 26 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 8 | - |
| D. Crawford | 17 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| B. Adams | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| D. Austin | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Smith | 8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| L. Jolicoeur | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Walsh | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter