Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.6% | 99.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.9% | 94.1% | +15.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +16 (78-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wilson | 29 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| K. Landry | 29 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| R. McCurdy | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| N. Geiser | 26 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Johnson | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Z. Filzen | 16 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - |
| G. Sharp | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Z. Comagic | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. Jones | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| N. Larson | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Bishop | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carroll | 36 | 12-15 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 22 | - |
| G. Wilkinson | 32 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| K. Clark | 32 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| T. Newbold | 25 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. DuCharme | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| T. Wesley | 21 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| D. Spraggins | 18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Stephens | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Formisano | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter