Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.3% | 66.7% | +3.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +2 (62-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Holloway | 36 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| K. Thomas | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| D. Thomas | 27 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| B. Carter | 24 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| R. George | 20 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| T. Easley | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Long | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Williams | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Fotso | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Sanders | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Merritt | 36 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| T. Montgomery | 35 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 11 | - |
| J. Griffin | 32 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| T. Peterson | 30 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| J. Bedwell | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Friday | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Davis | 13 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. King | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| G. Bermudez | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter