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2007-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Vanguard Lions Cal State Northridge Matadors Spread Result
Elo 5.6% 94.4% -
Bradley-Terry 9.0% 91.0% -
Margin 4.0% 96.0% +17.5 (27.5 off)

Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +45 (94-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanguard Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Scott 30 5-13 1-3 0-0 5 5 1 0 3 11 6 -
A. Ellis 24 5-11 2-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 8 14 -3 -
D. Heenan 22 1-8 1-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
T. Trajceski 21 1-4 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
B. Henderson 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
A. Vaitiekus 17 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
M. Davis 15 1-6 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
J. Parker 14 0-3 0-1 0-1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -2 -
D. Johnson 11 2-5 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 6 2 -
G. Gusiff 9 1-3 0-2 0-1 1 0 0 0 3 2 -3 -
B. Thompson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
B. Roberts 6 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 4 -
L. Pluimer 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 1 -

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Tresvant 28 5-10 4-8 1-1 4 5 3 0 0 15 17 -
J. Jenkins 25 7-13 0-3 0-0 4 10 3 0 2 14 16 -
C. Chitwood 25 8-11 0-1 4-4 4 1 1 0 1 20 14 -
J. Miller 24 4-5 0-0 0-2 7 0 1 0 2 8 9 -
J. Heard 23 7-11 0-1 0-0 6 2 2 1 0 14 14 -
R. Haynes 20 3-8 0-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 6 1 -
T. Townsend 20 3-7 0-1 2-2 7 0 1 4 3 8 10 -
P. Wayne 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 0 4 -
R. Colston 9 1-4 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
M. Lizarraga 6 0-0 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
T. Osunsanmi 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 2 6 -
T. Taylor 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter