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2007-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Oklahoma Sooners Spread Result
Elo 61.3% 38.7% -
Bradley-Terry 63.5% 36.5% -
Margin 62.6% 37.4% -2.8 (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 67.2% 32.8% -
Efficiency 94.7% 5.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.2% 24.8% -
Log Adjusted 75.4% 24.6% -

Actual: Oklahoma Sooners +4 (72-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Pargo 40 11-18 4-8 2-3 2 6 0 0 2 28 16 -
M. Downs 30 3-6 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 8 1 -
D. Pendergraft 29 2-5 1-2 2-2 4 1 1 0 0 7 8 -
M. Bouldin 26 2-7 1-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 5 3 -
A. Kuso 19 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 6 4 -
J. Heytvelt 15 2-7 0-1 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 5 -1 -
S. Gray 13 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
A. Daye 12 1-4 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 2 5 -
L. Gurganious 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
R. Sacre 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 -

Oklahoma Sooners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Johnson 36 2-7 2-5 3-4 2 0 0 1 0 9 5 -
T. Crocker 34 6-14 3-5 0-0 6 2 2 0 0 15 11 -
B. Griffin 31 6-9 0-0 3-6 14 2 0 2 0 15 24 -
L. Longar 26 6-12 0-0 4-6 4 3 0 0 2 16 9 -
O. Leary 26 2-7 2-6 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 8 2 -
D. Godbold 24 2-8 0-3 1-2 3 3 2 0 1 5 4 -
K. Clark 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
T. Griffin 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
A. Thompson 0 6-10 0-0 0-0 5 4 4 0 0 12 15 -
J. Harper 0 6-8 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 12 11 -
C. Paris 0 6-12 0-1 2-4 13 3 2 0 0 14 20 -
D. Robinson 0 4-7 0-0 1-2 5 4 2 0 0 9 13 -
J. Plumley 0 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 5 9 -

* = starter