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Pittsburgh Panthers 65
@
Duke Blue Devils 64
2007-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 9.4% 90.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 14.7% 85.3% - ✗
Margin 6.5% 93.5% +14.7 ✗ (15.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% - ✗
Efficiency 27.4% 72.6% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 30.3% 69.7% - ✗
Log Adjusted 30.2% 69.8% - ✗

Actual: Duke Blue Devils -1 (64-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Fields 40 7-13 3-7 4-4 2 4 2 0 5 21 11 -
S. Young 38 7-16 0-3 3-3 7 1 2 0 4 17 7 -
R. Ramon 38 1-7 0-4 2-2 2 2 1 0 3 4 -1 -
D. Blair 35 4-8 0-0 7-15 20 1 1 3 4 15 28 -
G. Brown 23 1-7 0-2 0-0 7 2 2 1 0 2 7 -
M. Cook 22 1-6 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 5 2 -5 -
T. Biggs 16 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
K. Benjamin 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Singler 39 6-12 1-2 4-6 5 2 1 0 3 17 10 -
D. Nelson 37 4-9 1-4 5-8 5 6 0 0 3 14 13 -
J. Scheyer 35 1-10 0-4 2-3 12 0 1 0 2 4 5 -
G. Paulus 34 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 3 -3 -
G. Henderson 29 8-17 0-3 1-4 2 1 2 1 2 17 4 -
L. Thomas 14 2-3 0-0 1-3 0 0 0 0 2 5 0 -
N. Smith 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -
T. King 11 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 0 -
D. McClure 8 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 1 4 -
B. Zoubek 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter